{"id":11393,"date":"2019-12-18T08:01:30","date_gmt":"2019-12-18T08:01:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/spotlight-fady-jameel\/the-economic-costs-of-climate-change-6\/"},"modified":"2026-09-02T21:23:34","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T21:23:34","slug":"the-economic-costs-of-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"spotlight","link":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/zh-hans\/spotlight-by-fady-jameel\/the-economic-costs-of-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u672c"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u6e29\u5ea6\u6025\u5267\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u6f6e\u6c34\u6c34\u4f4d\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u98ce\u529b\u52a0\u5f3a\u3002\u964d\u96e8\u3001\u98ce\u66b4\u3001\u5bb3\u866b\u3001\u75be\u75c5\u75c5\u539f\u4f53\u4e0e\u65e5\u4ff1\u589e\uff0c\u706b\u707e\u66f4\u52a0\u9891\u53d1\u3002\u964d\u96e8\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u51b0\u5ddd\u6d88\u878d\uff0c\u53ef\u5c45\u4f4f\u7684\u5730\u5757\u9762\u79ef\u5728\u7f29\u51cf\u30022019 \u5e74\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u707e\u96be\uff0c\u5f53\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u91ce\u706b\u3001\u98d3\u98ce\u548c\u5e72\u65f1\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aFady Jameel<\/a> – Abdul Latif Jameel \u526f\u603b\u88c1\u517c\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u66f4\u6e29\u6696\u3001\u66f4\u6e7f\u6da6\u3001\u66f4\u72c2\u66b4<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u4e09\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u5f3a\u70ed\u5e26\u6c14\u65cb\u4f0a\u4ee3\u5728\u83ab\u6851\u6bd4\u514b\u767b\u9646\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4 1,000 \u4f59\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5357\u975e\u5730\u533a\u6d2a\u6c34\u6cdb\u6ee5\u4ee5\u53ca\u7535\u529b\u4e2d\u65ad\u3002\u516b\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u5927\u706b\u6a2a\u626b\u4e86\u52a0\u90a3\u5229\u7fa4\u5c9b\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u5c9b\u5c7f\uff0c\u5b63\u98ce\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u6d2a\u6c34\u5bfc\u81f4\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u5c3c\u6cca\u5c14\u3001\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u548c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u8d85\u8fc7 200 \u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u800c\u667a\u5229\u5374\u906d\u9047\u4e86\u7ea6 60 \u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u65f1\u707e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u5a01\u5c3c\u65af\u534a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u672a\u66fe\u906d\u9047\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6f6e\u6c34\u548c\u5f3a\u98ce\u66b4\u96e8\u4f7f\u8fd9\u5ea7\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u88ab\u6df1\u8fbe 187 \u5398\u7c73\u7684\u6c34\u6df9\u6ca1\u3002\u800c\u5728\u52a0\u5229\u798f\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u548c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\uff0c\u91ce\u706b\u6467\u6bc1\u7684\u571f\u5730\u9762\u79ef\u8fbe\u6570\u5343\u82f1\u4ea9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u793e\u533a\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u5c45\u6c11\u65e0\u5bb6\u53ef\u5f52\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
\u52a0\u5dde\u68ee\u6797\u706b\u707e\u3002\u7167\u7247\u7248\u6743\u6240\u6709 \u00a9 Mark Ralston\/Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u82f1\u56fd\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u6148\u5584\u673a\u6784\u4e50\u65bd\u4f1a (Oxfam) \u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u201c\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u201d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u975e\u6d32 18 \u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\/\u5730\u533a\u7684 5200 \u4e07\u4eba\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u9965\u997f\u3002[1]<\/a>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b87\u822a\u5c40\u5728\u8c03\u67e5\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u8086\u8650\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u7684\u5927\u706b\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u540e\u679c\u65f6\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u6700\u4e3a\u51f6\u731b\u7684\u706b\u707e\u5176\u5b9e\u53d1\u751f\u4e8e\u201c\u6c34\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u533a\u57df\u201d[2]<\/a>\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u5bfc\u81f4\u690d\u7269\u91ca\u653e\u7684\u6c34\u84b8\u6c14\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u53d1\u751f\u706b\u707e\u3002[3]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65e5\u76ca\u5347\u9ad8\u7684\u4e8b\u6545\u53d1\u751f\u7387\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u9010\u6e10\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e4b\u524d\u6709\u5173\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u8282\u594f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u4ee4\u4eba\u9057\u61be\u5730\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u65e9\u5728 2013 \u5e74\uff0c\u300a\u5168\u7403\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u300b\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u53d1\u73b0\u201c\u81f3\u5c11\u5927\u6c14\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u589e\u52a0\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u7684 <\/em>IPCC<\/em><\/a> \u8bc4\u4f30\u5f53\u4e2d\u3002\u201d[4]<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u672a\u80fd\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6b65\u4f10\u52a0\u5feb\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u5931\u8bef\u4e5f\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5373\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u672c<\/em>\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u7f3a\u9677\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u81ea\u8eab\u5c06\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\u5b58\u5728\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7ed3\u5408\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb<\/em>\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765<\/em>\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7eaf\u7cb9\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6709\u5173\u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u9884\u6d4b\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u98d3\u98ce\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5c06\u5176\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u201c\u9759\u6001\u6027\u201d<\/em>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u786e\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6020\u4e8e\u7406\u89e3\uff08\u6216\u8005\u81f3\u5c11\u8003\u8651\uff09\u9759\u6001\u6027\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u771f\u6b63\u6210\u672c\u76f8\u5173\u9884\u6d4b\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6c14\u5019\u635f\u5bb3\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u6301\u7eed\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u201c\u4e9f\u5f85\u89e3\u51b3\u201d\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u5177\u4f53\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u5f53\u60c5\u51b5\u8fc5\u901f\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u53d8\u5316\u5f88\u91cd\u5927\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u4e8e\u65e0\u6cd5\u518d\u4ee5\u8fc7\u53bb\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4e3a\u6307\u5bfc\u65f6\u2014\u2014\u5c31\u50cf\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6240\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u6210\u672c\u9884\u6d4b\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u53d8\u5f97\u4e0d\u5408\u65f6\u5b9c\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u9700\u8003\u8651\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7ea7\u8054\u6548\u5e94<\/em>\u3002\u5145\u5206\u7406\u89e3\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5b64\u7acb\u5730\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u76f8\u4e92\u6e17\u900f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u672a\u77e5\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6539\u53d8\u3001\u52a0\u91cd\u3001\u7f13\u89e3\u6216\u5ef6\u8fdf\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u4e00\u56fd\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u8425\u517b\u4e0d\u826f\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u5176\u4eba\u53e3\u62b5\u5fa1\u708e\u70ed\u548c\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u66f4\u96be\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5728\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u7ee7\u800c\u5f15\u53d1\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u9a9a\u4e71\uff0c\u7834\u574f\u56fd\u5bb6\u9884\u9632\u53d1\u751f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6c14\u8c61\u707e\u5bb3\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u901a\u8fc7 Abdul Latif Jameel (J-WAFS<\/a>) \u8bbe\u4e8e\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662<\/a>\u7684\u6c34\u548c\u98df\u54c1\u7cfb\u7edf\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\uff0cJameel \u793e\u533a<\/a>\u6b63\u8d44\u52a9\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f00\u62d3\u6027\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u6c34\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u65f6\u66f4\u5177\u97e7\u6027\u548c\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5bf9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u540e\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u7b80\u5355\u63a8\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u624d\u521a\u521a\u5f00\u59cb\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e2d\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fde\u5e26\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u4f46\u6001\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u8ddf\u5f97\u4e0a\u6c14\u5019\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff1f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

2016 \u5e74\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e00\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u79d8\u4e66\u957f\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u884c\u52a8\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u7ea6 77 \u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u627f\u8bfa\u5728 2050 \u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u5b9e\u73b0\u51c0\u96f6\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u3001\u745e\u5178\u548c\u632a\u5a01\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u4e3a\u6b64\u9881\u5e03\u4e86\u6cd5\u5f8b\u3002\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0\u5168\u7403\u76ee\u6807\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u4ecd\u7136\u4ec5\u662f\u4e2a\u5962\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u968f\u7740\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5f00\u59cb\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u5c42\u9762\u90fd\u5c06\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u4ee5\u91d1\u94b1\u6765\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff1a\u4ece\u5355\u4e2a\u4f01\u4e1a\u5230\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5f71\u54cd\u6574\u4e2a\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u7ed3\u6784\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u4e3a\u8d22\u52a1\u635f\u5931\u505a\u51c6\u5907<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

2019 \u5e74 6 \u6708\uff0c\u6148\u5584\u7ec4\u7ec7 CDP<\/a>\uff08\u4ee5\u524d\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u78b3\u62ab\u9732\u9879\u76ee\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5168\u4e16\u754c 200 \u5bb6\u6700\u5927\u578b\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5c06\u603b\u5171\u9020\u6210\u8fd1 1 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u4e14\u591a\u6570\u635f\u5931\u4f1a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u53d1\u751f\u3002[5]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Carbon<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

CDP 2018 \u5e74\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u62a5\u544a<\/a>\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u636e\u82f9\u679c\u3001\u5fae\u8f6f\u3001\u8054\u5408\u5229\u534e\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u79fb\u52a8\u7b49\u516c\u53f8\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u9700\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684\u989d\u5916\u6210\u672c\u603b\u989d\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 9,700 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u89e6\u53d1\u56e0\u7d20\u5305\u62ec\u4e0e\u9ad8\u6e29\u3001\u6df7\u4e71\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u5f0f\u4ee5\u53ca\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u7ea6\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u635f\u5931\u88ab\u8ba4\u5b9a\u4e3a\u201c\u51e0\u4e4e\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u201d<\/em>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u52b3\u5de5\u7ec4\u7ec7 (ILO<\/a>) 2019 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u62a5\u544a[1]<\/a>\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u622a\u6b62\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u7684\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u6e29\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\u4e0d\u8d85\u8fc7 1.5\u00b0C\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u8ba1\u622a\u6b62 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e0e\u5de5\u4f5c\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u70ed\u91cf\u4f1a\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u635f\u5931\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u603b\u5de5\u4f5c\u65f6\u95f4\u635f\u5931 2.2%\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8bf4\u4f1a\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u4e27\u5931 8,000 \u4e07\u4efd\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u519c\u4e1a\u548c\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1a\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6700\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u5168\u7403\u6709\u7ea6 9.4 \u4ebf\u4eba\u4ece\u4e8b\u519c\u4e1a\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u622a\u6b62 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u635f\u5931\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u4e27\u5931\u603b\u5de5\u4f5c\u65f6\u95f4\u7684 60%\u3002\u622a\u6b62\u540c\u4e00\u65e5\u671f\uff0c\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1a\u5168\u7403\u5de5\u4f5c\u65f6\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11 19%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u627f\u53d7\u538b\u529b\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u652f\u67f1\uff0c\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u6781\u7aef\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u635f\u5931 5,200 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u3002[2]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u5c40<\/a>\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u6885\u5229\u838e\u00b7\u6234\u5c14 (Melissa Dell)<\/a> \u5728 2012 \u5e74\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6e29\u5ea6\u6bcf\u5347\u9ad8 1\u00b0C\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u6536\u5165\u5e73\u5747\u964d\u4f4e 8\uff05\u3002[3]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u707e\u5bb3\u6bcf\u5e74\u90fd\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5927\u7ea6 2,600 \u4e07\u4eba\u9677\u5165\u8d2b\u56f0\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u91c7\u53d6\u7d27\u6025\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u5230\u4e86 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u989d\u5916\u589e\u52a0 1 \u4ebf\u8d2b\u56f0\u4eba\u53e3\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6ede\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea7\u751f\u762b\u75ea\u6548\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e16\u754c\u201d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5230 GDP \u840e\u7f29\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u6700\u660e\u663e\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u635f\u5931\u5c06\u4f1a\u52a0\u91cd\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u8d2b\u56f0\u5730\u533a\u672c\u8eab\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u7528\u4e8e\u5feb\u901f\u6216\u6709\u6548\u5e94\u5bf9\u6e29\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u8f83\u5c11\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5c06\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\u906d\u53d7\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c<\/a>\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u622a\u81f3 2050 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e09\u4e2a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u5730\u533a\u7684\u591a\u8fbe 1.43 \u4ebf\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u6c14\u5019\u79fb\u6c11[4]<\/a>\uff0c\u4e2a\u4eba\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\u751a\u81f3\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u533a\u90fd\u5c06\u8feb\u4e0d\u5f97\u4ee5\u5bfb\u627e\u5c11\u53d7\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5c45\u6240\u3002<\/a>                                                                                                                               <\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Simon<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u201c\u8bf7\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u627f\u62c5\u7740\u6700\u5c0f\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u5374\u662f\u9996\u5f53\u5176\u51b2\u7684\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\uff0c\u201d<\/em>\u6765\u81ea\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a (GCA<\/a>) \u53ec\u96c6\u56fd\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u90e8\u957f Simon Stiell \u5728\u683c\u6797\u7eb3\u8fbe\u5982\u662f\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GCA \u7531\u524d\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u79d8\u4e66\u957f\u6f58\u57fa\u6587<\/a>\u3001\u5fae\u8f6f\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u6bd4\u5c14\u76d6\u8328<\/a>\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7<\/a>\u5e38\u52a1\u8463\u4e8b\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u5854\u7433\u5a1c\u00b7\u4e54\u6cbb\u6b27\u5a03<\/a>\u9886\u5bfc\uff0c\u5176\u6210\u5458\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u548c\u9a6c\u7ecd\u5c14\u7fa4\u5c9b\u7b49\u6613\u53d7\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5b83\u6210\u7acb\u4e8e 2018 \u5e74\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u786e\u4fdd\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u80fd\u591f\u627f\u53d7\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d7\u5230\u4fdd\u62a4\uff0c\u514d\u4e8e\u906d\u53d7\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5904\u4e8e\u8212\u9002\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5883\u51b5\u800c\u4e0d\u9762\u4e34\u4efb\u4f55\u5371\u9669\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6709\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u76f8\u5bf9\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u5931\u53bb\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u5c40 (NBER<\/a>) 2019 \u5e74 8 \u6708\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u6210\u672c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5de5\u4e1a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002[1]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u201c\u4e00\u5207\u7167\u5e38\u201d\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u5982\u679c\u6e29\u5ea6\u6301\u7eed\u5347\u9ad8\u5927\u7ea6 0.04\u00b0C\uff08\u5373\u6309\u7167\u5f53\u524d\u901f\u7387\u7ee7\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u78b3\u6392\u653e\uff09\uff0c\u5219\u610f\u5473\u7740\u622a\u6b62 2100 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u5747 GDP \u4e0b\u964d 7.2%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NBER \u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u622a\u6b62 2100 \u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u635f\u5931\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fbe\u5230\u5176 GDP \u7684 10.5%\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e 2 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u6309 2018 \u5e74\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684 GDP \u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u8d85\u8fc7 13%\uff08\u7ea6 2,210 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u53ef\u80fd\u5206\u522b\u635f\u5931\u7ea6 10%\uff08\u7ea6 5,000 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u30012,700 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u548c 200 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5177\u6709\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u300a\u65af\u7279\u6069\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b[2]<\/a>\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u5230\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u53f6\uff0c\u4ec5\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u8c61\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08\u66b4\u98ce\u96e8\u3001\u98d3\u98ce\u3001\u53f0\u98ce\u3001\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u5e72\u65f1\u3001\u70ed\u6d6a\uff09\u7684\u6210\u672c\u6bcf\u5e74\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u5168\u7403 GDP \u7684 0.5-1\uff05\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e16\u754c\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d8\u6696\uff0c\u5219\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u5c06\u4f1a\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5982\u679c\u5168\u7403\u6e29\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347 3 \u6216 4\u00b0C\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u6d2a\u6c34\u635f\u5931\u5c06\u4ece\u5982\u4eca GDP \u7684 0.1% \u589e\u52a0\u5230 0. 2\u2013 0.4%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5b83\u8fd8\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5230\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u53f6\uff0c\u70ed\u6d6a\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u201c\u53f8\u7a7a\u89c1\u60ef\u201d\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u70ed\u6d6a\u5728 2003 \u5e74\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u9020\u6210\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u635f\u5931\u7ea6\u4e3a 150 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u8d23\u4efb\u8de8\u8d8a\u56fd\u754c<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u5f88\u5c11\u6709\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4f1a\u4ece\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u6beb\u53d1\u65e0\u635f\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6027\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5b83\u4e0d\u5206\u56fd\u754c\uff0c\u65e0\u5173\u6587\u5316\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80cc\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u65af\u7279\u6069\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u8981\u5b9e\u73b0\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u51cf\u6392\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u78b3\u878d\u8d44\u6d41\u7a0b\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u201c\u8f6c\u53d8\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u6709\u4ee3\u4ef7\u7684\u3002\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f4e\u78b3\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u589e\u91cf\u6210\u672c\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u201c\u81f3\u5c11\u201d\u4e3a 200 \u81f3 300 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u516c\u5e73\u5206\u62c5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6210\u672c\u5c06\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4ea4\u6613\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u6269\u5c55\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6b27\u76df\u6392\u653e\u4ea4\u6613\u7cfb\u7edf (EU ETS<\/a>)\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5360\u571f\u5730\u4f7f\u7528\u6392\u653e\u8fd1\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u7684\u516b\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u68ee\u6797\u4fdd\u62a4\u201c\u673a\u4f1a\u6210\u672c\u201d\uff08\u5373\u672a\u5229\u7528\u7684\u8d22\u52a1\u6f5c\u529b\uff09\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230 50 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u516c\u5e73\u5730\u8865\u507f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u727a\u7272\u662f\u4eba\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u65e0\u8bba\u671d\u54ea\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\u770b\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u90fd\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u4ec5\u5c31\u7ecf\u5408\u7ec4\u7ec7<\/a>\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u5bb6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u800c\u5efa\u8bbe\u65b0\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u5efa\u7b51\u7269\u7684\u989d\u5916\u8d39\u7528\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u5e74 1500 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u5360 GDP \u7684 0.5\uff05\uff09[3]<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ee5\u5fb7\u62c9\u514b\u65af\u96c6\u56e2<\/a>\u8ba1\u5212\u5728 10 \u5e74\u5185\u4f7f\u82f1\u56fd\u5317\u7ea6\u514b\u90e1\u7684\u5fb7\u62c9\u514b\u65af\u53d1\u7535\u5382\u5b9e\u73b0\u8d1f\u78b3\u51cf\u6392\u7684\u6700\u8fd1\u516c\u544a\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u5168\u7403\u9996\u5bb6\u5b9e\u73b0\u8d1f\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002[4]<\/a>\u5373\u4f7f\u4ee5\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u5fb7\u62c9\u514b\u65af\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c06\u5176\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u71c3\u7164\u53d1\u7535\u673a\u7ec4\u8f6c\u6362\u4e3a\u4f7f\u7528\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u751f\u7269\u8d28\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u5fb7\u62c9\u514b\u65af\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u653f\u5e9c\u6bcf\u5929\u63d0\u4f9b 200 \u4e07\u82f1\u9551\uff08263 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u8865\u8d34\u3002\u5b83\u7684\u65b0\u4e3e\u63aa\u662f\u6355\u83b7\u5de5\u5382\u6392\u653e\u7684\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u5428\u78b3\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u57cb\u85cf\u4e8e\u5730\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6301\u624d\u53d8\u5f97\u53ef\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5371\u673a\u9700\u8981\u5168\u7403\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u610f\u5473\u7740\u201c\u63a8\u9500\u201d\u4ee5\u6c14\u5019\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u53ef\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u5ff5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u65b0\u578b\u6210\u672c\/\u6548\u76ca\u5206\u6790<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u6765\u81ea GCA \u7684\u7814\u7a76[5]<\/a>\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5229\u76ca\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8d85\u8fc7\u521d\u59cb\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Global<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u6839\u636e\u8be5\u9879\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5230 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u5fc5\u987b\u6295\u8d44\u4e0d\u5c11\u4e8e 1.8 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4ee5\u51c6\u5907\u5e94\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u9879\u6295\u8d44\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u597d\u5904\u53ef\u80fd\u591a\u8fbe 4 \u500d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GCA \u7814\u7a76\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u622a\u81f3 2030 \u5e74\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u8b66\u62a5\u7cfb\u7edf\u3001\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3001\u65f1\u5730\u8015\u79cd\u3001\u7ea2\u6811\u6797\u4fdd\u62a4\u548c\u6c34\u7ba1\u7406\u6295\u8d44\u8fbe 1.8 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u4e3a 7.1 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5b83\u4ee5\u82f1\u56fd\u6cf0\u6664\u58eb\u6cb3\u9632\u6f6e\u95f8<\/a>\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u8be5\u5de5\u7a0b\u4fdd\u62a4 130 \u4e07\u540d\u4f26\u6566\u4eba\u514d\u906d\u6d2a\u6c34\u56f0\u6270\uff0c\u662f\u4ece\u8fd9\u79cd\u8fdc\u89c1\u4e2d\u4ea7\u751f\u76ca\u5904\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u8303\u4f8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Thames<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u867d\u7136\u9632\u6f6e\u95f8\u7684\u65bd\u5de5\u6210\u672c\u8fbe\u5230 5.34 \u4ebf\u82f1\u9551\uff086.86 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u5b83\uff0c\u6d2a\u6c34\u98ce\u9669\u5c06\u4f7f\u91d1\u4e1d\u96c0\u7801\u5934\u65e0\u6cd5\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5165\u9a7b\u7740\u8bf8\u591a\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u578b\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u91d1\u878d\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5e26\u6765\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7a0e\u6536\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7c7b\u4f3c\u5730\uff0c\u6839\u636e GCA \u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5bf9\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u98ce\u66b4\u8b66\u544a\u7cfb\u7edf\u6295\u8d44 8 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u6bcf\u5e74\u82b1\u8d39\u9ad8\u8fbe 160 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7528\u4e8e\u6551\u63f4\u6b64\u7c7b\u66b4\u98ce\u96e8\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u707e\u5bb3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u56e0\u4e3a\u5bf9\u7535\u529b\u548c\u8fd0\u8f93\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u635f\u5bb3\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5728\u4e2d\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u9020\u6210\u7ea6 180 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5458\u5931\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u548c\u516c\u53f8\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e1a\u52a1\u4e2d\u65ad\u800c\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u635f\u5931\u9ad8\u8fbe 3,900 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143[1]<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u91cd\u65b0\u601d\u8003\u5b83\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u201d<\/em>Ban Ki-Moon \u5728\u53d1\u5e03\u62a5\u544a\u65f6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\u3001\u89c4\u5212\u548c\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u9769\u65b0\uff0c\u4f7f\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u89c1\u3002\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6539\u9769\u4f4e\u6548\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u53d6\u6d88\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8865\u8d34\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ef\u4ee5\u5171\u540c\u8282\u7701\u7ea6 2500 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u5b57\u662f\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u529b\u3002 [2]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9664\u4e86\u7701\u94b1\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u8d5a\u94b1\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5bf9\u4f4e\u78b3\u3001\u9ad8\u6548\u7387\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u300a\u65af\u7279\u6069\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u63cf\u5212\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u65b0\u5546\u673a\uff1a\u201c\u5230 2050 \u5e74\uff0c\u4f4e\u78b3\u80fd\u6e90\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u81f3\u5c11\u8fbe\u5230 5000 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u201d<\/em>\u5e76\u5efa\u8bae\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u597d\u597d\u5730\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5feb\u901f\u6295\u8d44\u53ef\u5e26\u6765\u5feb\u901f\u56de\u62a5\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u9886\u57df\u5305\u62ec\u63d0\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u6548\u7387\u548c\u51cf\u5c11\u71c3\u6599\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u201c\u5c06\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8bd5\u70b9\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4ee5\u6307\u5bfc\u4eca\u540e\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u3002\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5ef6\u8fdf\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u98ce\u9669\u5e76\u635f\u5bb3\u673a\u4f1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u9274\u4e8e\u98ce\u9669\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5e94\u7acb\u5373\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u5de5\u4f5c\u3001\u4fdd\u62a4\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u4fdd\u969c\u6211\u4eec\u793e\u533a\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u907f\u514d\u5c06\u6765\u4e3a\u5c1d\u8bd5\u91cd\u5efa\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u800c\u4ed8\u51fa\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u4e9b\u62fc\u56fe\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5143\u7d20\u5df2\u6210\u719f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5168\u7403\u53d1\u7535\u548c\u914d\u7535\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u8131\u78b3\u6280\u672f\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u673a\u6784 (IRENA<\/a>) \u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5230 2050 \u5e74\u9700\u8981\u7ea6 26 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f4e\u78b3\u53d1\u7535\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u5982\u6b64\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u8131\u78b3\u8981\u6c42\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u51e0\u4e4e\u6bcf\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u8fdb\u884c\u5168\u9762\u53d8\u9769\u3002\u7535\u529b\u548c\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u751a\u81f3\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u5173\u952e\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53d8\u9769\u90fd\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u3002\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u8fc7\u6e21\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u90a3\u4e9b\u613f\u610f\u63a5\u53d7\u65b0\u4e16\u754c\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u548c\u672a\u6765\u6536\u5165\u6765\u6e90\u7684\u4eba\u624d\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u770b\u4f3c\u65e0\u6cd5\u63d0\u4f9b\u8db3\u591f\u652f\u6491\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002\u5c31\u50cf\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u7684\u8f6c\u578b\u6216\u5411\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u4e16\u754c\u8f6c\u578b\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u78b3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u9886\u57df\u4e2d\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7535\u6c14\u5316\u8fd0\u8f93\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u3001\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u548c\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u52a0\u70ed\u548c\u51b7\u5374\u65b9\u6cd5\u3001\u201c\u6c22\u5316\u201d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u8d1f\u8f7d\u5747\u8861\u7684\u7535\u7f51\u7684\u5174\u8d77\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u673a\u9047\uff0c\u4ee5\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7ba1\u7406\u4f9b\u5e94\u548c\u9700\u6c42\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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