{"id":15506,"date":"2022-04-27T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-27T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/perspectives\/la-desigualdad-amenaza-con-un-mundo-de-mayor-riesgo\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T14:12:36","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T14:12:36","slug":"la-desigualdad-amenaza-con-un-mundo-de-mayor-riesgo","status":"publish","type":"perspectives","link":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/es\/perspectives\/la-desigualdad-amenaza-con-un-mundo-de-mayor-riesgo\/","title":{"rendered":"La desigualdad amenaza con un mundo de mayor riesgo"},"content":{"rendered":"

Modern life can sometimes feel like an endless negotiation with jeopardy. \u00a0In 2022, we seem addicted to collectively running the gauntlet of risk \u2013 the risk of environmental collapse, the risk of contracting a deadly virus, the risk of nationalistic border strife spiraling out of control. \u00a0<\/p>\n

Yet, for most of us, such fears remain hypothetical, or of uncertain timescale, or unnecessarily inflated by trending headlines and media hype. \u00a0So, what about the real<\/em> world of risk? \u00a0What are the clear and present dangers forecast by the experts \u2013 by those people in charge of steering businesses and governments towards risk mitigation?<\/p>\n

What, according to them, are the most critical hazards looming on our shared horizon, and what actions should we be taking now to offset their potential harm?<\/p>\n

The World Economic Forum (WEF<\/a>) publishes an annual risks report, surveying governments, academics, businesses and NGOs around the world on the most profound challenges facing humanity and global society.<\/p>\n

\"WEFIts 2022 Global Risks Report<\/a>, published in February 2022, describes a world facing unprecedented stresses on issues scarcely imagined a generation ago. \u00a0<\/p>\n

A world too often pulling in different directions and threatening to cause irreparable self-harm. \u00a0A world valiantly striving to survive its infancy and embrace some kind of stable maturity.<\/p>\n

While a chief concern among risk experts remains climate change \u2013 the cloud threatening to eclipse us all \u2013 it is impossible to overlook that as a civilization we are still emerging, shaken and bruised, from the ravages of COVID-19. \u00a0<\/p>\n

And our current recovery trajectory exposes many of the fault lines in today\u2019s interconnected global civilization.<\/p>\n

In 2022, it is not so much the viral weaponry of COVID-19 that levies the greatest global threat, nor even the lengthening shadows of inter-state conflict.\u00a0 Rather, it is the societal pressures imposed by issues such as vaccine inequality (and more widely access to basic healthcare) and divergent economic recoveries.<\/p>\n

As the WEF notes, in the poorest 52 countries, home to one-fifth of the global population, only 6% of people are presently vaccinated. \u00a0Compare that to the 70%+ rates achieved by 50 of the wealthiest countries.<\/p>\n

\"Global

The developing \u2018Global South\u2019: visual depiction of the north\u2013south divide, proposed by West German former Chancellor Willy Brandt in the 1980s in the report titled ‘North-South: A Programme for Survival’ which was later known as the ‘Brandt Report’. (Image credit \u00a9 Jovan.Gec).<\/p><\/div>\n

The ramifications are inevitable. \u00a0By 2024, developing economies will lag 5.5% behind their pre-pandemic GDP growth, just as advanced economies exceed theirs by 0.9%. \u00a0Over the next five years, the survey reflects widespread concern at this growing income gap creating tensions \u201cwithin and across borders\u201d, threatening the erosion of social cohesion and fostering a long-term livelihood crises.<\/p>\n

At the human scale COVID-19 was responsible for 53 million cases of major depression worldwide, prompting mental health deterioration to be identified as one of the risks to have escalated most sharply during the pandemic.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

To these woes, respondents to the WEF survey highlight a growing debt crisis, failings in cybersecurity and a pervasive public backlash against science, compounded by ever greater digital inequality.<\/p>\n

Just 16% of those surveyed feel positive or optimistic about the global outlook, with most instead predicting the immediate future to be characterized by either \u201cconsistent volatility and multiple surprises or fractured trajectories that will separate relative winners and losers\u201d.<\/p>\n

Inevitably, such disparities jeopardize our attempts at a coordinated defense against the most ominous of existential threats: climate change.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Environment dominates global fears<\/h2>\n

Peering through our current pandemic-influenced myopia, the WEF survey proves that the climate crisis still dominates the realm of long-term threats.<\/p>\n

The top five risks deemed most pressing over the next decade are all environment-related, as are the top three when gauged by severity \u2013 a sobering collision of likelihood and menace, as a deeper dive into the responses show.<\/p>\n

In the coming five to 10 years the top risks, those gauged most likely to manifest, center on:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Climate action failure \u2013 42.1%<\/li>\n
  2. Extreme weather \u2013 32.4%<\/li>\n
  3. Biodiversity loss \u2013 27%<\/li>\n
  4. Natural resource crises \u2013 23%<\/li>\n
  5. Human environmental damage \u2013 21.7%<\/li>\n
  6. Social cohesion erosion \u2013 19.1%<\/li>\n
  7. Involuntary migration \u2013 15%<\/li>\n
  8. Adverse tech advances \u2013 14.9%<\/li>\n
  9. Geo-economic confrontations \u2013 14.1%<\/li>\n
  10. Geopolitical resource contestation \u2013 13.5%<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Climate action failure, extreme weather and biodiversity loss likewise occupy the top three positions in terms of predicted severity \u2013 with human environmental damage and natural resource crises also highly cited.<\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

    Indifferent to the capricious nature of COVID-19, immune to any conflict in Eastern Europe, the climate crisis continues its relentless pursuit of our way of life.<\/p>\n

    The number of extreme weather disasters causing in excess of US$ 1.5 billion damage reached double figures in 2021. \u00a0Hurricane Ida hit the USA in August, resulting in the deaths of 95 people. \u00a0Storms across Europe in July claimed 240 lives and saw widespread flooding in Germany, France and other countries. \u00a0Floods in South Sudan left 800,000 homeless, while a further 200,000 were displaced by a cyclone affecting India, Sri Lanka and the Maldives.https:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Towards-2030_-The-Jameel-family-the-UN-Sustainable-Development-Goals-EN-VO_EN-Subs-16×9-COMP.mp4
    \nhttps:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Video-Poster-Image-1.jpg<\/p>\n

    https:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Abdul-Latif-Jameel-Energy-Our-Commitment-to-Renewables-FRV-EN_EN-Subs-16×9-6.mp4
    \nhttps:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2021\/03\/ALJ-Energy-FRV-Commitment-Video-Thumbnail-1.png<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":15457,"menu_order":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-15506","perspectives","type-perspectives","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLa desigualdad amenaza con un mundo de mayor riesgo - Abdul Latif Jameel<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La desigualdad amenaza con un mundo de mayor riesgo - Abdul Latif Jameel\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Modern life can sometimes feel like an endless negotiation with jeopardy. \u00a0In 2022, we seem addicted to collectively running the gauntlet of risk \u2013 the risk of environmental collapse, the risk of contracting a 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<sup>https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/science-environment-59761839<\/sup>"],"_business_sector":["field_66f6b5bcac8cb"],"business_sector":["Energ\u00eda"],"_content_series":["field_66fe3c439f8f6"],"content_series":[""],"_old_post_id":["field_66fe3fd59f8f7"],"old_post_id":["98455"],"_short_title":["field_60925d67125ef"],"short_title":["La desigualdad amenaza con un mundo de mayor riesgo"],"_summary":["field_6019304103a20"],"summary":["<p>\u00bfCu\u00e1les son, seg\u00fan ellos, los peligros m\u00e1s importantes que se ciernen sobre nuestro horizonte com\u00fan y qu\u00e9 medidas deber\u00edamos tomar ahora para contrarrestar sus posibles da\u00f1os?\u00a0El Foro Econ\u00f3mico Mundial <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/\">(FEM<\/a>) publica un informe anual sobre los riesgos, en el que encuesta a gobiernos, acad\u00e9micos, empresas y ONG de todo el mundo sobre los retos m\u00e1s profundos a los que se enfrenta la humanidad y la sociedad global.<\/p>"],"_mobile_featured_image":["field_66f6b4bee65f3"],"mobile_featured_image":["https:\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/WEF-Word-Risks-2022-Hero-Image.jpg"],"_push_notification":["field_66f6b47de65f1"],"push_notification":[""],"_publish_mobile":["field_66f6b491e65f2"],"publish_mobile":["0"],"_status":["field_652694983fe12"],"status":["publish"],"_thumbnail_id":["15457"],"_wpml_word_count":["{\"total\":2687,\"to_translate\":{\"ar\":2687,\"zh-hans\":2687,\"fr\":2687,\"ja\":2687,\"es\":2687,\"tr\":2687}}"],"_last_translation_edit_mode":["native-editor"],"amazonS3_cache":["a:30:{s:88:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/WEF-Risks-Report-2022-Cover.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15458\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:96:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/WEF-Risks-Report-2022-Cover-212x300.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15458\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:90:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/WEF-Risks-Report-2022-Cover.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15458\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:98:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/WEF-Risks-Report-2022-Cover-212x300.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15458\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:73:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Global-South.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15459\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:75:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Global-South.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15459\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:98:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15460\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:100:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15460\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:99:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter2-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15461\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:101:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter2-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15461\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:99:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter3-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15462\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:101:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter3-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15462\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:88:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/David-Attenborough-at-COP26.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15463\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:96:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/David-Attenborough-at-COP26-300x193.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15463\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:90:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/David-Attenborough-at-COP26.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15463\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:98:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/David-Attenborough-at-COP26-300x193.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15463\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:83:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/World-Leaders-at-COP26.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15464\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:85:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/World-Leaders-at-COP26.png\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15464\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:99:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter4-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15465\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:101:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter4-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15465\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:99:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter5-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15466\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:101:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter5-scaled-1.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15466\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:93:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Graeme-MacKay-Four-Waves-Cartoon.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15467\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:95:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Graeme-MacKay-Four-Waves-Cartoon.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15467\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:72:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/UN-SDG-Wall.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"10728\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:74:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/UN-SDG-Wall.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"10728\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:74:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Fady-Jameel-2.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15303\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:82:\"\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Fady-Jameel-2-225x300.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15303\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:76:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Fady-Jameel-2.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15303\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}s:84:\"\/\/media.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Fady-Jameel-2-225x300.jpg\";a:2:{s:2:\"id\";s:5:\"15303\";s:11:\"source_type\";s:13:\"media-library\";}}"],"content":["<p>La vida moderna a veces puede parecer una negociaci\u00f3n interminable llena de peligros. En 2022, parece que somos adictos a correr colectivamente toda una serie de riesgos: el riesgo de colapso medioambiental, el riesgo de contraer un virus mortal, el riesgo de que las luchas fronterizas nacionalistas se descontrolen.<\/p>\r\n<p>Sin embargo, para la mayor\u00eda de nosotros, se trata de temores hipot\u00e9ticos o con plazos inciertos, o simplemente se trata de temores inflados como consecuencia de los titulares y el bombo de los medios de comunicaci\u00f3n. Entonces, \u00bfqu\u00e9 pasa con el mundo del riesgo <em>real<\/em>? \u00bfCu\u00e1les son los peligros claros y presentes previstos por los expertos, por las personas encargadas de dirigir las empresas y los gobiernos hacia la mitigaci\u00f3n de riesgos?<\/p>\r\n<p>\u00bfCu\u00e1les son, seg\u00fan ellos, los peligros m\u00e1s importantes que se ciernen sobre nuestro horizonte com\u00fan y qu\u00e9 medidas deber\u00edamos tomar ahora para contrarrestar sus posibles da\u00f1os?<\/p>\r\n<p>El Foro Econ\u00f3mico Mundial <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/\">(FEM<\/a>) publica un informe anual sobre los riesgos, en el que encuesta a gobiernos, acad\u00e9micos, empresas y ONG de todo el mundo sobre los retos m\u00e1s profundos a los que se enfrenta la humanidad y la sociedad global.<\/p>\r\n<p><img class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-97774\" src=\"https:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2022\/04\/WEF-Risks-Report-2022-Cover-212x300.png\" alt=\"WEF Risks Report 2022 Cover\" width=\"212\" height=\"300\" \/>Su <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/reports\/global-risks-report-2022\">Informe sobre los Riesgos Mundiales 2022<\/a>, publicado en febrero de 2022, describe un mundo que se enfrenta a tensiones sin precedentes sobre cuestiones que apenas pod\u00edan imaginarse hace una generaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\r\n<p>Un mundo que, con demasiada frecuencia, tira en diferentes direcciones y amenaza con infligirse un da\u00f1o irreparable. Un mundo que se esfuerza valientemente por sobrevivir a su infancia y adoptar alg\u00fan tipo de madurez estable.<\/p>\r\n<p>Aunque la principal preocupaci\u00f3n de los expertos en riesgos sigue siendo el cambio clim\u00e1tico \u2013la nube que amenaza con eclipsarnos a todos\u2013, es imposible pasar por alto que, como civilizaci\u00f3n, todav\u00eda estamos saliendo, sacudidos y magullados, de los estragos de la COVID-19.<\/p>\r\n<p>Y nuestra trayectoria de recuperaci\u00f3n actual pone al descubierto muchos de los fallos de la civilizaci\u00f3n global interconectada actual.<\/p>\r\n<p>En 2022, no es tanto el armamento v\u00edrico de la COVID-19 lo que supone la mayor amenaza mundial, ni siquiera las sombras cada vez m\u00e1s alargadas de los conflictos interestatales. Se trata m\u00e1s bien de las presiones sociales impuestas por cuestiones como la desigualdad en las vacunas (y m\u00e1s ampliamente el acceso a la atenci\u00f3n sanitaria b\u00e1sica) y las divergencias en la recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\r\n<p>Como se\u00f1ala el FEM, en los 52 pa\u00edses m\u00e1s pobres, que albergan a una quinta parte de la poblaci\u00f3n mundial, solo el 6\u00a0% de las personas est\u00e1n actualmente vacunadas. Comp\u00e1rese con las tasas superiores al 70\u00a0% que alcanzan 50 de los pa\u00edses m\u00e1s ricos.<\/p>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_97781\" align=\"aligncenter\" width=\"813\"]<img class=\" wp-image-97781\" src=\"https:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Global-South.png\" alt=\"Global South\/Brandt Line\" width=\"813\" height=\"472\" \/> El \u201cSur Global\u201d en desarrollo: representaci\u00f3n visual de la divisi\u00f3n norte-sur, propuesta por el ex canciller de Alemania Occidental, Willy Brandt, en la d\u00e9cada de 1980 en el informe titulado \u201cNorte-Sur: un programa de supervivencia\u201d, que m\u00e1s tarde se conoci\u00f3 como el Informe Brandt. Cr\u00e9dito de la imagen \u00a9 Jovan.Gec,[\/caption]\r\n\r\n<p>Las ramificaciones son inevitables. Para 2024, las econom\u00edas en desarrollo se quedar\u00e1n un 5,5\u00a0% por detr\u00e1s de su crecimiento del PIB previo a la pandemia, al igual que las econom\u00edas avanzadas superan el suyo en un 0,9\u00a0%. En los pr\u00f3ximos cinco a\u00f1os, la encuesta refleja la preocupaci\u00f3n generalizada por esta creciente brecha de ingresos que crea tensiones \u201cdentro y fuera de las fronteras\u201d, amenazando la erosi\u00f3n de la cohesi\u00f3n social y fomentando una crisis de medios de vida a largo plazo.<\/p>\r\n<p>A escala humana, la COVID-19 fue responsable de 53 millones de casos de depresi\u00f3n grave en todo el mundo, lo que provoc\u00f3 que el deterioro de la salud mental se identificara como uno de los riesgos que m\u00e1s se intensificaron durante la pandemia.<\/p>\r\n<p><img class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-98419\" src=\"https:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2022\/04\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1465\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p>A estos males, los encuestados por el FEM destacan una creciente crisis de la deuda, fallos en la ciberseguridad y una reacci\u00f3n p\u00fablica generalizada contra la ciencia, agravada por una desigualdad digital cada vez mayor.<\/p>\r\n<p>Solo el 16\u00a0% de los encuestados se sienten positivos u optimistas sobre las perspectivas globales, y la mayor\u00eda predice que el futuro inmediato se caracterizar\u00e1 por \u201cuna volatilidad constante y m\u00faltiples sorpresas o trayectorias fracturadas que separar\u00e1n a los ganadores y perdedores relativos\u201d.<\/p>\r\n<p>Inevitablemente, dichas disparidades ponen en peligro nuestros intentos de una defensa coordinada contra la m\u00e1s ominosa de las amenazas existenciales: el cambio clim\u00e1tico.<\/p>\r\n<p><img class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-98426\" src=\"https:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2022\/04\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter2-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1449\" \/><\/p>\r\n<h2>El medio ambiente domina los temores globales<\/h2>\r\n<p>A trav\u00e9s de nuestra actual miop\u00eda influenciada por la pandemia, la encuesta del FEM demuestra que la crisis clim\u00e1tica sigue dominando el \u00e1mbito de las amenazas a largo plazo.<\/p>\r\n<p>Los cinco principales riesgos considerados m\u00e1s acuciantes para la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada est\u00e1n relacionados con el medio ambiente, al igual que los tres primeros si se eval\u00faa su gravedad, lo que supone una colisi\u00f3n aleccionadora entre la probabilidad y la amenaza, como muestra un an\u00e1lisis m\u00e1s profundo de las respuestas.<\/p>\r\n<p>En los pr\u00f3ximos cinco a diez a\u00f1os, los principales riesgos, los que se estiman con mayor probabilidad de manifestarse, se centran en:<\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n\t<li>Fracaso de la acci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica: 42,1\u00a0%.<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Clima extremo: 32,4\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n\t<li>P\u00e9rdida de biodiversidad: 27\u00a0%.<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Crisis de recursos naturales: 23\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Da\u00f1o al medio ambiente causado por el ser humano: 21,7\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Erosi\u00f3n de la cohesi\u00f3n social: 19,1\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Migraci\u00f3n involuntaria: 15\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Avances tecnol\u00f3gicos adversos: 14,9\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Enfrentamientos geoecon\u00f3micos: 14,1\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n\t<li>Contienda de recursos geopol\u00edticos: 13,5\u00a0%<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<p>El fracaso de la acci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica, las condiciones meteorol\u00f3gicas extremas y la p\u00e9rdida de biodiversidad ocupan igualmente los tres primeros puestos en t\u00e9rminos de gravedad prevista, siendo tambi\u00e9n muy citados los da\u00f1os al medio ambiente humano y las crisis de recursos naturales.<\/p>\r\n<p><img class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-98433\" src=\"https:\/\/alj.com\/app\/uploads\/2022\/04\/1724-ALJ-World-Risks-Lighter3-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1379\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p>Indiferente a la naturaleza caprichosa de la COVID-19, inmune a cualquier conflicto en Europa del Este, la crisis clim\u00e1tica contin\u00faa su implacable persecuci\u00f3n de nuestro modo de vida.<\/p>\r\n<p>El n\u00famero de cat\u00e1strofes meteorol\u00f3gicas extremas que causaron da\u00f1os por valor de m\u00e1s de 1500\u00a0millones de USD alcanz\u00f3 las dos cifras en 2021. El hurac\u00e1n Ida azot\u00f3 Estados Unidos en agosto, provocando la muerte de 95\u00a0personas. Las tormentas que se produjeron en julio en toda Europa se cobraron 240\u00a0vidas y provocaron inundaciones generalizadas en Alemania, Francia y otros pa\u00edses. Las inundaciones en Sud\u00e1n del Sur dejaron a 800\u00a0000 personas sin hogar, mientras que otras 200\u00a0000 fueron desplazadas por un cicl\u00f3n que afect\u00f3 a India, Sri Lanka y las Maldivas.<a href=\"#_ftn1\""],"_content":[""],"_edit_lock":["1778595253:22"],"_edit_last":["22"],"_ame_cpe_post_policy":["{\"accessProtection\":{\"active\":\"replace\"}}"],"_wpml_media_duplicate":["1"],"_wpml_media_featured":["1"],"_yoast_wpseo_content_score":["90"],"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":["1"]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/perspectives\/15506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/perspectives"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/perspectives"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15457"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.alj3.clients.lemonhq.io\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}